There is a scary pattern in military operations in which Yoseri Tuhaburwa Museveni is involved: the ease with which even the closest allies are sacrificed to gain a "greater good".

There are rumours that during exile in Tanzania most military plots against Idi Amin in which Tuhaburwa was involved somehow snaked all the way to Kampala. Some of the high profile arrests of guerrillas by Amin's security were suspect betrayals from within (the guerilla groups).

And during his bloody Luwero campaign this same methods seemed to have continued. One of the possible high profile betrayals was that of his commander; Sam Magara.

There are now reports that the tip-off that sent Joseph Kony packing originated from within the Ugandan government. There is also a growing feeling within Museveni's partners in the offensive against Kony that the tip to Kony was executed with instruction from the top echolons of the Ugandan government and intended to justify a prolonged sojourn in DRC.

A source inside the Southern Sudanese government whom I met a few days ago said the failing battle is causing divisions within the GOSS. A section of the GOSS was against the move from the beginning arguing that as mediators their role was not belligerent. They were also of opinion that Kony had genuine reasons to fear coming out before the ICC indictments are lifted given a historical pattern of Museveni's deliberate failures to respect accords reached with various groups.

This group argued that since it was the Ugandan government that initiated the ICC moves it had a sufficient role to play in asking for the removal of the indictments. This group feels that bulldozing Kony or even taking drastic belligerent measures would result into a resurgence of hostilities that could spiral across the entire region with monumental repercussions.

Furthermore this group feels that given that the Sudanese President, Omar el-Bashir, is beleaguered and by the same quarters as Kony, this could lead the two groups to some sort of accord and create a situation that could jeopardise the GOSS' determination to breakaway from Khartoum when they hold a referendum in a few years to come.

This group is reportedly coalescing around the GOSS vice-president, Riek Machar. But because a large section of the GOSS is made up of Dinka loyal to the GOSS president, Salva Kiir; Machar, whom many in this group see as a traitor who killed their people and went to bed with the Arabs, was overwhelmed and his position shot down.

Now it appears Machar is enjoying the "I-told-you" status.

My source also intimated that the GOSS had received a message from the Congolese government voicing its disgust at a deliberate leakage of the operational plan by agents in Kampala.

Congo is already said to be showing a lukewarm reception to the ongoing operation and if it continues to register ugly failures it is possible Congo could make an about turn.

Further details indicate that the Congolese government has landed on intelligence information that ties the operation against Kony to the war with Laurent Nkundabatware.

As regional attention was fixed on the unfolding reports of the military offensive against Kony, a section of the Ugandan army estimated to be around 500 men with arms, are said to have entered the Congo and joined Nkundabatware's fighters. Some of these are said to be a section of troops that were recently undergoing drills in Nakasongola -- a large number of them Tutsi refugees from within and without Uganda.

My source also indicated that the US, whose policies in the region are said to be making an about-turn following the victory of Barack Obama, may have monitored communication channels to Kony's satellite phone and have been able to locate exactly the source of the leakage.

Museveni quick response to the reported leak with claims that Kony was able to monitor UPDF radio communications was intended to deviate the search from the original source of leakage.

But every dog has its day and this current mess could help create a desire for the world to re-examine this man's evil machinations. If they zero on him as the source of the leakage, although it may never become a public knowledge, there will definitely be pressures for him to explain his actions (tipping-off Kony).